Bootstrap Statistical Model of Tooth Surface Deviation for Heat-Treated Spiral Bevel Gears

Spiral bevel gears are critical components in mechanical transmission systems for intersecting or skew axes. Their tooth surface accuracy directly impacts operational performance, noise, and durability. This study proposes a bootstrap-based statistical model to evaluate the tooth surface deviation of heat-treated spiral bevel gears, enabling efficient batch quality assessment with limited samples.

1. Bootstrap Statistical Methodology

For spiral bevel gears with identical materials, machining processes, and heat treatment specifications, the bootstrap method resamples limited measurement data to predict batch characteristics:

1.1 Probability Feature Extraction

Let $\sigma_i$ denote the tooth surface deviation at the $m^{th}$ measurement point of the $i^{th}$ gear. The initial sample sequence is:

$$\sigma = (\sigma_1, \sigma_2, \ldots, \sigma_n)$$

Bootstrap resampling generates $B$ simulated datasets $\xi_B$ through $L$-times random sampling with replacement:

$$\xi_B = (\xi_b(1), \xi_b(2), \ldots, \xi_b(B))$$

The mean and variance of bootstrap samples are calculated as:

$$\bar{\xi}_B = \frac{1}{B}\sum_{j=1}^{B}\bar{\xi}_{b(j)}$$
$$\delta^2 = \frac{1}{B-1}\sum_{j=1}^{B}(\bar{\xi}_{b(j)} – \bar{\xi}_B)^2$$

1.2 Confidence Interval Estimation

Using percentile method for $1-\alpha$ confidence level:

$$P\{\theta_{\alpha/2} < \theta < \theta_{1-\alpha/2}\} = 1-\alpha$$

where $\theta_{K1}$ and $\theta_{K2}$ represent the $\frac{\alpha}{2}$ and $1-\frac{\alpha}{2}$ quantiles of ordered bootstrap estimates.

2. Tooth Surface Reconstruction

The NURBS surface reconstruction for spiral bevel gears is expressed as:

$$P(u,v) = \frac{\sum_{i=0}^n \sum_{j=0}^m B_{i,k}(u)B_{j,l}(v)W_{i,j}V_{i,j}}{\sum_{i=0}^n \sum_{j=0}^m B_{i,k}(u)B_{j,l}(v)W_{i,j}}$$

where $B_{i,k}(u)$ and $B_{j,l}(v)$ are B-spline basis functions, $W_{i,j}$ are weights, and $V_{i,j}$ are control vertices.

3. Experimental Validation

Batch testing of automotive differential spiral bevel gears (15×15 measurement grid) demonstrates the methodology:

3.1 Bootstrap Analysis

Table 1 compares probability features between original and bootstrap samples:

Samples Original Mean Bootstrap Mean Error Original Variance Bootstrap Variance Error
10 -1.6100 -1.5994 0.66% 3.7693 3.5798 5.03%
20 -0.9050 -0.9082 0.35% 3.2744 3.1908 2.64%
35 0.5029 0.5030 0.019% 4.0072 3.9493 1.44%

3.2 Surface Reconstruction Comparison

Figure 1 illustrates the relationship between reconstructed surfaces using different sample sizes. The bootstrap mean deviation surface converges toward the actual mean surface as sample size increases, particularly at critical measurement points.

4. Conclusion

The bootstrap statistical model effectively predicts heat treatment-induced deviations in spiral bevel gears:

  1. Requires only 10-35 samples for accurate batch characterization
  2. Reduces mean estimation error to <0.5% with 35 samples
  3. Provides 95% confidence intervals for process control

This methodology enables efficient quality evaluation and process optimization for high-precision spiral bevel gear manufacturing.

$$B_{i,k}(x) = \frac{x-s_i}{s_{i+k}-s_i}B_{i,k-1}(x) + \frac{s_{i+k+1}-x}{s_{i+k+1}-s_{i+1}}B_{i+1,k-1}(x)$$

Table 2: Confidence Intervals of Bootstrap Estimates ($\alpha=0.05$)
Parameter 5 Samples 10 Samples 20 Samples
Mean ($\mu$m) (-1.732, 1.698) (-0.913, -0.903) (0.426, 0.437)
Variance (3.122, 3.891) (3.187, 3.194) (3.922, 3.931)
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