Abstract
This article delves into the development of a bootstrap statistical model aimed at addressing the issue of tooth surface deviation in batch spiral bevel gears during heat treatment. By leveraging bootstrap resampling on a limited set of sample data, the study generates a robust statistical model capable of estimating and predicting the deviation trends in large batches of gears. The application of cubic Non-Uniform Rational B-Splines (NURBS) surface fitting method further enhances the accuracy of the model in evaluating the entire batch’s tooth surface precision. This model provides a theoretical foundation for refining tooth surface processing parameters and ensuring efficient and stable production.

Introduction
Spiral bevel gears are widely employed in mechanical transmission systems involving intersecting or offset axes, where their tooth surface precision significantly influences overall gear performance. Traditional methods of assessing tooth surface accuracy, such as roll testing, have been surpassed by digital precision measurement and feedback correction techniques in terms of efficiency and precision. However, accurately assessing the quality of an entire batch of gears post-heat treatment remains challenging due to the impracticality of inspecting each gear individually.
This study proposes a bootstrap statistical model to efficiently and accurately evaluate the tooth surface deviation in batch spiral bevel gears subjected to the same material, NC milling process, and heat treatment specifications. By utilizing bootstrap resampling, the model generates a large sample dataset from a limited number of actual measurements, enabling statistical analysis and prediction of deviation trends.
Background on Bootstrap Method
The bootstrap method, initially proposed by Efron [1], is a statistical technique that enables the generation of large sample datasets from a limited set of observations. It involves resampling the original data with replacement to create multiple pseudo-samples, each of which serves as an approximation of the entire population. This approach has been successfully applied in various fields, including reliability analysis, error estimation, and statistical inference, despite the original data being small in size [2, 3, 4].
Methodology
1. Bootstrap Resampling and Statistical Modeling
To establish the bootstrap statistical model, a series of steps were followed:
- Data Collection: A limited number of spiral bevel gears from the same batch were selected for measurement. For each gear, tooth surface deviations were recorded at predefined measurement points.
- Bootstrap Resampling: From the collected data, bootstrap resampling was performed to generate a large number of pseudo-samples. Each pseudo-sample contained the same number of observations as the original dataset, drawn with replacement from the original set.
- Statistical Analysis: Statistical characteristics, including mean and standard deviation, were computed for each pseudo-sample. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test was employed to assess the normality of the data distribution.
- Confidence Interval Estimation: Confidence intervals for the estimated mean and standard deviation were determined using percentile methods. This step provided a range within which the true parameter values were likely to lie.
2. Tooth Surface Reconstruction using NURBS
To visualize and analyze the deviation trends across the entire tooth surface, a cubic NURBS surface fitting method was adopted. NURBS surfaces are mathematically defined by control points and weights, allowing for smooth and precise representations of complex shapes. By fitting the bootstrap-estimated deviation values to a NURBS surface, a comprehensive view of the entire tooth surface’s deviation patterns was obtained.
Experimental Setup and Results
1. Experimental Design
- Sample Selection: A batch of spiral bevel gears, all subjected to the same material, NC milling process, and heat treatment specifications, were selected for measurement.
- Measurement Protocol: Tooth surface deviations were measured using a CNC gear measuring center, with a 15×15 grid pattern defined on each tooth surface.
- Bootstrap Resampling: For each measurement point, bootstrap resampling was performed to generate a large number of pseudo-samples.
2. Results and Analysis
- Statistical Characteristics: The mean and standard deviation of tooth surface deviations were computed for each measurement point across the pseudo-samples. The K-S test confirmed the normality of the data distribution, enabling the application of parametric statistical methods.
- Confidence Intervals: Confidence intervals for the mean and standard deviation were determined using percentile methods. These intervals provided a measure of the uncertainty associated with the estimated parameters.
Table 1: Example Confidence Intervals for Selected Sample Sizes
Sample Size | Mean Deviation (μm) | 95% Confidence Interval (μm) | Standard Deviation (μm) | 95% Confidence Interval (μm) |
---|---|---|---|---|
10 | -0.9050 | (-0.9133, -0.9031) | 3.2744 | (3.1872, 3.1944) |
20 | -0.9082 | (-0.9174, -0.9043) | 3.1908 | (3.1812, 3.1967) |
30 | -0.8580 | (-0.8603, -0.8557) | 3.7610 | (3.7503, 3.7717) |
3. Tooth Surface Reconstruction
- NURBS Fitting: The bootstrap-estimated deviation values were fitted to a cubic NURBS surface, providing a visual representation of the deviation patterns across the entire tooth surface.
- Comparison with Actual Deviations: The reconstructed NURBS surface was compared with the actual deviation measurements to validate the model’s accuracy.
Discussion
Advantages of the Bootstrap Method
- Efficiency: By generating a large sample dataset from a limited number of observations, the bootstrap method significantly enhances statistical power without requiring additional measurements.
- Flexibility: The bootstrap approach can be applied to various statistical distributions and does not rely on stringent assumptions about the underlying data generating process.
- Practicality: The model’s ability to accurately predict tooth surface deviations using limited data makes it highly practical for industrial applications where comprehensive measurement is often impractical.
Comparison with Traditional Methods
Traditional methods of assessing batch gear quality often rely on extensive orthogonal experiments or large-scale measurements, which can be time-consuming and costly. In contrast, the proposed bootstrap statistical model provides a cost-effective and efficient alternative, enabling accurate prediction of tooth surface deviations using only a limited number of samples.
Conclusion
This study successfully demonstrates the application of the bootstrap statistical model in predicting tooth surface deviations in batch spiral bevel gears post-heat treatment. By leveraging bootstrap resampling and NURBS surface fitting, the model provides a comprehensive and accurate view of deviation patterns across the entire tooth surface. The results indicate that the bootstrap approach can effectively estimate statistical characteristics and confidence intervals for small sample sizes, outperforming traditional methods in terms of efficiency and practicality.